TSMC Profit Jumps 39% in Q3, Surpasses Estimates on AI Chip Demand

Mark Eisenberg
Photo: Finoracle.net

TSMC Reports Record-Breaking Q3 Profit Driven by AI Chip Demand

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), Asia’s largest technology company by market capitalization, announced a 39.1% year-over-year increase in third-quarter net profit, surpassing market estimates and setting a new company record. The surge reflects robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chips amid the ongoing AI boom. TSMC reported revenue of NT$989.92 billion ($33.10 billion) for the quarter, up 30.3% from the previous year and exceeding consensus estimates of NT$977.46 billion. Net income reached NT$452.3 billion, beating the forecast of NT$417.69 billion.

AI and High-Performance Computing Propel Revenue Gains

TSMC’s high-performance computing division, which includes AI and 5G applications, accounted for 57% of total revenue in the July-September quarter. The company’s advanced semiconductor chips, measuring 7 nanometers or smaller, represented 74% of wafer revenue, underscoring its technological edge in compact, efficient transistor designs.
“Recent developments in AI market continue to be very positive,” said TSMC CEO C.C. Wei. “Increasing adoption of AI models by consumers has led to more demand for compute, and by extension, semiconductor products. Thus, our conviction in the AI megatrend is strengthening.”
Counterpoint Research senior analyst William Li highlighted the role of TSMC’s most advanced chip technologies, noting, “TSMC’s robust earnings are a direct reflection of the strong traction at 3nm as well as high utilization at 4/5nm – both driven by ongoing orders from AI GPU and HPC customers and premium smartphone platforms.”

Increased Investment and Capacity Expansion Amid Tariff Uncertainties

Reflecting confidence in sustained AI demand, TSMC raised its 2025 revenue growth forecast to the mid-30% range, up from the previous estimate of approximately 30%. The company also increased its planned capacity expansion and upgrade spending to a minimum of $40 billion for 2025, up from a prior floor of $38 billion. TSMC executives acknowledged ongoing risks related to U.S. tariff policies, as Taiwan negotiates reciprocal tariff rates while Washington considers industry-specific duties on semiconductors. CEO Wei emphasized the company’s proactive monitoring and planning to mitigate potential impacts. Investments in U.S.-based manufacturing facilities may also help TSMC reduce exposure to tariffs, supporting operational resilience amid geopolitical uncertainties.

Strong Market Performance Reflects Investor Confidence

TSMC’s shares in Taiwan have surged more than 38% year-to-date, reflecting investor optimism driven by the company’s leadership in AI chip manufacturing and robust financial performance.

FinOracleAI — Market View

TSMC’s Q3 results reinforce its dominant position in the semiconductor industry, especially within the high-growth AI and high-performance computing markets. The company’s ability to leverage cutting-edge process technologies (3nm, 4nm, 5nm) and expand capacity aligns with strong secular demand for AI chips.
  • Opportunities: Continued AI adoption drives sustained demand for advanced chips; expansion into U.S. manufacturing mitigates geopolitical risks; raised revenue guidance signals confidence in market growth.
  • Risks: Potential impacts from U.S.-China trade tensions and tariff policies; supply chain disruptions; competition from other semiconductor manufacturers.

Impact: Positive — TSMC’s strong earnings and strategic investments position it well to capitalize on the AI-driven semiconductor cycle, supporting long-term growth despite geopolitical uncertainties.

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Mark Eisenberg is a financial analyst and writer with over 15 years of experience in the finance industry. A graduate of the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, Mark specializes in investment strategies, market analysis, and personal finance. His work has been featured in prominent publications like The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and Forbes. Mark’s articles are known for their in-depth research, clear presentation, and actionable insights, making them highly valuable to readers seeking reliable financial advice. He stays updated on the latest trends and developments in the financial sector, regularly attending industry conferences and seminars. With a reputation for expertise, authoritativeness, and trustworthiness, Mark Eisenberg continues to contribute high-quality content that helps individuals and businesses make informed financial decisions.​⬤