Bitcoin’s Post-FTX Crash: Unpacking the First Major Crypto Drop

John Darbie
Photo: Finoracle.me

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant drop in its value, marking its most severe weekly decrease since the FTX crash in November 2022. The flagship cryptocurrency’s price went under the $26,000 mark, following a tumultuous period in the crypto market. This article examines the reasons behind Bitcoin’s sharp decline, its impact on other cryptocurrencies, and the varying predictions from experts on its future prospects.

The Significant Drop in Bitcoin’s Value Sparks Concerns in the Crypto Market

Bitcoin’s value plummeted during the week, reaching as low as $25,392, a price not seen since mid-June. This drastic fall is primarily attributed to a series of liquidations of leveraged trading positions. Crypto exchange Bitstamp recorded Bitcoin trading as high as $29,659 at the start of the week, and by Friday, it dropped to as low as $25,601, representing a decrease of 13.68%. Although not as severe as the 25% drop during the FTX crash, it is still the largest decline in Bitcoin’s price since then.

Ethereum Fares Better Than Bitcoin, but Still Experiences a 10% Weekly Drop

While Bitcoin suffered a significant drop in value, Ethereum (ETH) fared slightly better with a 10% drop over the week. This relative stability can be attributed to the potential approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that hold ETH futures. Despite the smaller decline, the drop in Ethereum’s price reflects the overall bearish sentiment in the market.

Other Cryptocurrencies Follow Bitcoin’s Lead and Suffer Losses

Bitcoin’s decline had a ripple effect on other cryptocurrencies. XRP, MATIC, and meme coins DOGE and SHIB all experienced losses ranging from 15% to 20%. The sharp decline in cryptocurrency prices is not solely due to specific news events or broader economic conditions, but rather a result of market structure and leveraged trading. The build-up of leverage in the derivatives market led to rapid feedback loops, resulting in a significant number of liquidations and a subsequent drop in open interest.

Market Structure and Leverage Build-Up Behind the Drastic Bitcoin Price Drop

Market research firm K33 Research suggests that the sudden price drop in Bitcoin was primarily driven by the build-up of leverage in the derivatives market. This created a cycle of rapid liquidations and a subsequent drop in open interest. While this market structure contributed to the sharp decline, K33 Research remains optimistic, suggesting that the recent price drop might set the stage for a potential short squeeze in the future.

Experts Differ on Bitcoin’s Future, with Some Predicting a Short Squeeze and Others Foreseeing Further Decline

Experts have varying opinions on the future of Bitcoin. QCP Capital predicts a further decline to around $24,000 by the end of September, with much depending on the upcoming speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. On the other hand, Michael Silberberg of AltTab Capital views the dip as an opportunity for long-term investors to acquire more Bitcoin at discounted prices. These contrasting perspectives highlight the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin’s future trajectory.

Bitcoin’s significant drop in value has raised concerns in the crypto market, marking its most severe weekly decrease since the FTX crash. While Ethereum fared slightly better, other cryptocurrencies followed Bitcoin’s lead and suffered losses. The drastic decline in Bitcoin’s price can be attributed to market structure and leveraged trading, creating a cycle of liquidations and a subsequent drop in open interest. Expert predictions on Bitcoin’s future vary, with some envisioning a potential short squeeze while others foresee further decline. As the crypto market continues to navigate this volatility, investors and enthusiasts are closely monitoring the developments to determine the next steps.

Analyst comment

Negative news: The significant drop in Bitcoin’s value sparks concerns in the crypto market. Ethereum also experienced a 10% drop. Other cryptocurrencies followed suit and suffered losses. The market structure and leveraged trading were behind the drastic price drop. Experts have differing opinions on Bitcoin’s future, with predictions ranging from further decline to a potential short squeeze.

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John Darbie is a seasoned cryptocurrency analyst and writer with over 10 years of experience in the blockchain and digital assets industry. A graduate of MIT with a degree in Computer Science and Engineering, John specializes in blockchain technology, cryptocurrency markets, and decentralized finance (DeFi). His insights have been featured in leading publications such as CoinDesk, CryptoSlate, and Bitcoin Magazine. John’s articles are renowned for their thorough research, clear explanations, and practical insights, making them a reliable source of information for readers interested in cryptocurrency. He actively follows industry trends and developments, regularly participating in blockchain conferences and webinars. With a strong reputation for expertise, authoritativeness, and trustworthiness, John Darbie continues to provide high-quality content that helps individuals and businesses navigate the evolving world of digital assets.