Bitcoin Price Drop Looms: NUPL Metric Sparks Concern

John Darbie
Photo: Finoracle.net

Bitcoin Could See Bearish Movement To $40,000

As Bitcoin continues to demonstrate bearish momentum, Grizzly, a technical and on-chain analyst, navigating Bitcoin's recent price action has issued a cautionary prediction, stating that BTC could fall further to about $40,000. The market expert's wearisome forecast for the crypto asset is based on the crucial NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) metric.

Understanding the NUPL Metric

It is worth noting that the NUPL metric is a tool for determining the distinctiveness between relative unrealized profit and relative unrealized loss. Simply put, the tool here illustrates the mood of investors and what Bitcoin owners who desire to sell their holdings would make or lose. When the NUPL is high, it suggests that a sizable section of the market is profiting, which may lead to pressure to sell or take profits. On the other hand, when the NUPL is low, it means that the majority of market participants are losing money, thereby encouraging additional buying or a bullish mood.

According to the analyst, the NUPL metric's current readings are entering a range that usually marks the beginning of a price drop for Bitcoin, as it is presently positioned close to a critical level of 0.4, indicating a probable downward trajectory. The 0.4 level has historically been a major support and resistance level, and according to data, a break below this mark frequently signals the start of a huge bearish trend. Should the index continue its downward trend, Grizzly is confident that the bears may seize complete control of the market. As a result, the expert anticipates a strong decline for BTC to about $40,000 in the short term. While the analyst expects a price drop due to the NUPL metric, he has pointed out that the magnitude of the present downswing is not yet strong enough to signal the end of the upward trend conclusively.

BTC Experiences Slight Rebound

Given the volatile nature of Bitcoin, Grizzly's analysis acts as a warning to crypto investors about a potential price instability for the crypto asset in the near future. Currently, the digital asset is displaying a healthy movement, after witnessing a slight recovery at the $56,632 level. BTC may have rebounded to $58,531, but in the past week, the flagship coin is still down by more than 3%. Even though the general market sentiment is bearish, there is still room for the asset to attract further gains, as its daily trading volume has surged by over 6%, suggesting optimism among investors.

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John Darbie is a seasoned cryptocurrency analyst and writer with over 10 years of experience in the blockchain and digital assets industry. A graduate of MIT with a degree in Computer Science and Engineering, John specializes in blockchain technology, cryptocurrency markets, and decentralized finance (DeFi). His insights have been featured in leading publications such as CoinDesk, CryptoSlate, and Bitcoin Magazine. John’s articles are renowned for their thorough research, clear explanations, and practical insights, making them a reliable source of information for readers interested in cryptocurrency. He actively follows industry trends and developments, regularly participating in blockchain conferences and webinars. With a strong reputation for expertise, authoritativeness, and trustworthiness, John Darbie continues to provide high-quality content that helps individuals and businesses navigate the evolving world of digital assets.